Hurricane Risk in a Changing Climate by Unknown

Author:Unknown
Language: eng
Format: epub
ISBN: 9783031085680
Publisher: Springer International Publishing

Because of our focus on mid-century, the values in 2050 are relevant. Additionally, to capture some of the uncertainty of sea level rise within the RCP 8.5 scenario, we choose the Intermediate-Low and Intermediate-High scenarios, which are the two that most closely flank the 5–95% certainty boxes in Fig. 8.2. Increases were determined from 2010, which is the vintage of the bathymetry and elevation data in the AIR hurricane model. An example of how the values was determined for the Intermediate-High scenario for New York is shown in the bottom panel of Fig. 8.3. The values for both SLR scenarios for each region are shown in Table 8.1.

Fig. 8.3NOAA SLR scenarios for locations used in the study. Annotations in bottom panel indicate considerations for adjusting the SLR value needed for 2050 for one NOAA scenario (yellow, intermediate high) because of the vintage (2010) of the storm surge output from the SLOSH model. More details provided in the text. (Plots obtained from NOAA website: Sea Level Trends – NOAA Tides & Currents)

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